- Headlines use the language of fundamentals, but the reality is more about politics.
- Regional competition for refined products and seasonal pressures are generally supportive of prices, despite persistent economic pessimism.
- Volatility skews are tilted to the upside, meaning traders are likely preparing for a jump in prices amidst uncertainty. This is particularly true for seasonally sensitive commodities like heating oil. Please reference the chart below.
*This summary is based off October 9, 2022
A free excerpt, such as this one, will be published on a delay periodically. This is an excerpt from Blue Lacy Advisors, LLC’s (“Blue Lacy”) weekly commentary for clients, which is based on a collection of models, research/analytical subscriptions, and bespoke work. Each week Blue Lacy explores how market drivers included in these analyses might affect or be used in clients’ planning, budgeting, and execution of strategy. Call Blue Lacy to make an appointment today!
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Steve Sinos, Blue Lacy Advisors, LLC
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Steve has spent his career in strategy, risk, trading, and investment. He works with investors to source investments in opportunistic or high growth sectors, with particular interest in early-stage companies solving clearly defined problems.
He is currently a Managing Partner with Blue Lacy Advisors LLC, giving management teams and investors confidence in their decision making by supporting strategic planning and execution, risk management, commodity trading, and market analysis.
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